Saturday 10 June 2017

Média Em Movimento Média Versus Centrada Móvel


Zonas climáticas do mundo Você já se perguntou por que uma área do mundo é um deserto, outra uma pastagem, e outra uma floresta tropical Por que há diferentes florestas e desertos, e por que existem diferentes tipos de vida em cada área A resposta é o clima. O clima é a condição característica da atmosfera perto da superfície terrestre em um determinado lugar na terra. É o tempo a longo prazo da área (pelo menos 30 anos). Isso inclui o padrão geral das regiões de condições climáticas, estações e extremos climáticos como furacões, secas ou períodos chuvosos. Dois dos fatores os mais importantes que determinam um clima das áreas são temperatura do ar e precipitação. Os biomas mundiais são controlados pelo clima. O clima de uma região determinará o que as plantas crescerão lá, e que animais o habitarão. Todos os três componentes, clima, plantas e animais são entrelaçados para criar o tecido de um bioma. Alguns fatos sobre o clima Os raios dos sóis atingiram o equador em um ângulo direto entre 23 176 N e 23 176 S de latitude. A radiação que atinge a atmosfera aqui é a mais intensa. Em todos os outros casos, os raios chegam a um ângulo com a superfície e são menos intensos. Quanto mais perto um lugar estiver dos pólos, menor o ângulo e, portanto, menos intensa a radiação. Nosso sistema climático baseia-se na localização destas regiões de massa de ar quente e fria e na circulação atmosférica criada pelos ventos alísios e ventos do oeste. Ventoes ao norte do sopro do equador a partir do nordeste. Ao sul do equador, sopram do sudeste. Os ventos alísios dos dois hemisférios se encontram perto do equador, fazendo o ar subir. À medida que o ar ascendente esfria, nuvens e chuva se desenvolvem. As bandas resultantes de tempo nublado e chuvoso perto do equador criar condições tropicais. Westerlies sopra do sudoeste no hemisfério do norte e do noroeste no hemisfério do sul. Westerlies orientar tempestades de oeste para leste através de latitudes médias. Tanto os ventos do oeste como os ventos alísios sopram do cinturão de latitude de 30 176. Em grandes áreas centradas em 30 176 latitude, os ventos de superfície são leves. O ar desce lentamente para substituir o ar que sopra. Qualquer umidade que o ar contenha evapora no calor intenso. Os desertos tropicais, como o Sahara de África eo Sonoran de México, existem sob estas regiões. A Terra gira em torno de seu eixo, que é inclinado em 23,5 graus. Esta inclinação ea radiação dos sóis resultam nas estações da Terra. O sol emite raios que atingem a superfície terrestre em diferentes ângulos. Estes raios transmitem o mais alto nível de energia quando atingem a terra num ângulo reto (90, 176). As temperaturas nestas áreas tendem a ser os lugares mais quentes da terra. Outros locais, onde os raios solares atingidos em menor ângulos, tendem a ser mais frias. À medida que a Terra gira em seu eixo inclinado em torno do Sol, diferentes partes da Terra recebem níveis mais altos e mais baixos de energia radiante. Isso cria as estações. Sistema de Classificação do Clima de Koumlppen O Sistema de Classificação do Clima de Koumlppen é o mais utilizado para classificar os climas dos mundos. A maioria dos sistemas de classificação usados ​​hoje baseiam-se no introduzido em 1900 pelo climatologista russo-alemão Wladimir Koumlppen. Koumlppen dividiu a superfície da Terra em regiões climáticas que geralmente coincidiam com padrões mundiais de vegetação e solos. O sistema Koumlppen reconhece cinco tipos climáticos principais com base nas médias anuais e mensais de temperatura e precipitação. Cada tipo é designado por uma letra maiúscula. A - Climas tropicais úmidos são conhecidos por suas altas temperaturas durante todo o ano e por sua grande quantidade de chuva durante todo o ano. B - Climas secos são caracterizados por pouca chuva e uma enorme faixa de temperatura diária. Dois subgrupos, S - semiárido ou estepe, e W - árido ou deserto, são usados ​​com os climas B. C - Em climas úmidos de latitude média, as diferenças de águas subterrâneas desempenham um papel importante. Estes climas têm verões quentes e secos e invernos frescos e húmidos. D - Climas continentais podem ser encontrados nas regiões interiores de grandes massas de terra. A precipitação total não é muito alta e as temperaturas sazonais variam amplamente. E - Climas frios descrevem este tipo de clima perfeitamente. Estes climas são parte de áreas onde gelo permanente e tundra estão sempre presentes. Apenas cerca de quatro meses do ano têm temperaturas acima do congelamento. Outros subgrupos são designados por uma segunda letra minúscula que distingue características sazonais específicas de temperatura e precipitação. F - Húmido com precipitação adequada em todos os meses e sem estação seca. Esta carta geralmente acompanha o. C. E climas D. M - clima da floresta tropical, apesar da estação curta e seca no ciclo do tipo monção. Esta letra só se aplica aos climas A. S - Há uma estação seca no verão do respectivo hemisfério (estação de sol alto). W - Há uma estação seca no inverno do respectivo hemisfério (época de sol baixo). Para denotar ainda variações no clima, uma terceira letra foi adicionada ao código. A - Verões quentes onde o mês mais quente é sobre 22176C (72176F). Estes podem ser encontrados nos climas C e D. B - Verão quente com o mês mais quente abaixo de 22176C (72176F). Estes também podem ser encontrados em climas C e D. C - Verões curtos e curtos com menos de quatro meses acima dos 10176C (50176F) nos climas C e D. D - Invernos muito frios com o mês mais frio abaixo de -38176C (-36176F) no clima D apenas. H - Seco-quente com uma temperatura média anual acima de 18176C (64176F) em climas B apenas. K - Seca-frio com temperatura média anual abaixo de 18176C (64176F) em climas B apenas. Estes climas desérticos são encontrados em desertos de baixa latitude aproximadamente entre 18176 e 28176 em ambos os hemisférios. Esses cintos de latitude são centrados nos trópicos de Câncer e Capricórnio, que ficam apenas norte e sul do equador. Eles coincidem com a borda do cinturão de alta pressão subtropical equatorial e ventos alísios. Os ventos são leves, o que permite a evaporação da umidade no calor intenso. Eles geralmente fluem para baixo, de modo que a área raramente é penetrada por massas de ar que produzem chuva. Isto faz para um calor muito seco. O deserto seco árido é um verdadeiro clima desértico, e abrange 12 da superfície terrestre Terra. Faixa de Temperatura: 16176 C Precipitação Anual: 0.25 cm (0.1 in). Todos os meses com menos de 0,25 cm (0,1 pol.). Latitude Range: 15176 - 25176 N e S. Gama Global: sudoeste dos Estados Unidos e norte do México Argentina norte da África África do Sul parte central da Austrália. Climas de latitude média: Os climas nesta zona são afectados por duas massas de ar diferentes. As massas de ar tropicais estão se movendo em direção aos pólos e as massas de ar polares estão se movendo em direção ao equador. Estas duas massas de ar estão em constante conflito. Ou a massa de ar pode dominar a área, mas nenhum deles tem controle exclusivo. Caracterizado por pastagens, este é um clima semi-árido. Pode ser encontrada entre o clima do deserto (BW) e os climas mais húmidos dos grupos A, C e D. Se recebesse menos chuva, a estepe seria classificada como um deserto árido. Com mais chuva, seria classificado como uma pradaria de gramíneas. Este clima seco existe nas regiões interiores dos continentes norte-americano e euro-asiático. As massas de ar oceânicas úmidas são bloqueadas por cordilheiras a oeste e sul. Estas cordilheiras também atrapalham o ar polar no inverno, tornando os invernos muito frios. Verões são quentes a quente. Faixa de temperatura: 24176 C (43176 F). Precipitação anual: menos de 10 cm (4 pol) nas regiões mais secas para 50 cm (20 pol.) Nas estepes mais úmidas. Linha de Gama: 35176 - 55176 N. Gama Global: América do Norte Ocidental (Grande Bacia, Planalto Columbia, Grandes Planícies) Interior euro-asiático, das estepes da Europa Oriental ao Deserto de Gobi e ao Norte da China. Este clima está na zona frontal polar - o campo de batalha das massas de ar polares e tropicais. Mudanças sazonais entre verão e inverno são muito grandes. As temperaturas diárias também mudam frequentemente. Abundante precipitação cai durante todo o ano. É aumentada na estação do verão invadindo as massas de ar tropicais. Invernos frios são causados ​​por massas polares e árticas movendo-se para o sul. Faixa de temperatura: 31 176C (56 176 F) Precipitação anual média: 81 cm (32 in). Intervalo de Latitude: 30176 - 55176 N e S (Europa: 45176 - 60176 N). Posição Global: partes orientais dos Estados Unidos e do sul do Canadá norte da China Coréia Japão central e oriental da Europa. Climas de alta latitude: As massas de ar polar e ártico dominam estas regiões. Canadá e Sibéria são duas fontes de massa de ar que se enquadram neste grupo. Uma contraparte do hemisfério sul destes centros continentais não existe. As massas de ar de origem ártica encontram massa de ar polar continental ao longo dos paralelos 60º e 70º. Este é um clima continental com invernos longos, muito frios, e verões curtos, frescos. Este clima é encontrado na região de massa de ar polar. As massas de ar muito frias do ártico se movem frequentemente dentro. A escala da temperatura é maior do que todo o outro clima. A precipitação aumenta durante os meses de verão, embora a precipitação anual ainda seja pequena. Grande parte do clima da floresta boreal é considerado úmido. No entanto, grandes áreas no oeste do Canadá e Sibéria recebem muito pouca precipitação e caem no tipo de clima sub-húmido ou semi-árido. Faixa de temperatura: 41 176C (74 176F), baixa -25 176C (-14 176F), máximos 16 176C (60 176F). Precipitação média anual: 31 cm (12 in). Latitude: 50176 - 70176 N e S. Posição Global: central e oeste do Alasca Canadá, do Território do Yukon ao Labrador Eurasia, do norte da Europa em toda a Sibéria até o Oceano Pacífico. Os climas das montanhas são frios ao frio, encontrados nas montanhas e altos planaltos. Os climas mudam rapidamente nas montanhas, tornando-se mais frio quanto maior a altitude fica. O clima de uma região montanhosa está intimamente relacionado com o clima do bioma circundante. As terras altas têm as mesmas estações e períodos úmidos e secos como o bioma que estão dentro climas de montanha são muito importantes para os biomas de latitude média. Eles funcionam como áreas de armazenamento de água. A neve é ​​mantida para trás até a mola eo verão quando é liberada lentamente como a água através da fusão. Faixa de temperatura: -18 176C a 10 176C (-2 176F a 50176F) Precipitação média anual: 23 cm (9 pol.) Latitude: encontrada em todo o mundo Posição Global: Cordilheira Rochosa na América do Norte, a Cordilheira dos Andes América do Sul, os Alpes na Europa, Mt. Kilimanjaro em África, os Himalayans em Tibet, Mt. Fuji no Japão. Bibliografia: Strahler, Arthur N. Strahler, Arthur H. Elementos de Geografia Física. John Wiley amp Sons, 1984. Após a revogação de Obamacare: Mudança para cuidados de saúde centrados no paciente, baseados no mercado após a revogação de Obamacare: Mudança para cuidados de saúde centrados no paciente Curtis Dubay, reconhecido como um especialista em questões fiscais , É bolsista de pesquisa em política fiscal e econômica. Obamacare move os cuidados de saúde americanos na direção errada, corroendo o relacionamento médico-paciente, centralizando o controle e aumentando os custos de saúde. A verdadeira reforma dos cuidados de saúde capacitaria os indivíduos, com os seus médicos, a tomarem as suas próprias decisões de cuidados de saúde livres da interferência do governo. Portanto, Obamacare deve ser interrompido e totalmente revogado. Então, o Congresso e os Estados deveriam implementar reformas centradas no paciente e baseadas no mercado que melhor atendessem os americanos. Key Takeaways Obamacare move os cuidados de saúde americanos na direção errada. Ela mina o relacionamento médico-paciente, centraliza as decisões de cuidados de saúde e aumenta os custos. Obamacare deve ser interrompido e totalmente revogado. Congresso e os estados devem prosseguir centrado no paciente, reformas baseadas no mercado que voltem a reforma de cuidados de saúde na pista. Selecione uma Seção 1 0 Toggle open close Para uma vida melhor, os americanos precisam de um sistema de saúde que eles, e não o governo, controle. Os consumidores devem ter a capacidade de escolher como satisfazer as suas necessidades de seguro de saúde em um mercado livre de seguros. Os contribuintes devem beneficiar de um sistema mais eficiente e acessível para ajudar aqueles que precisam de cuidados de saúde, mas não pode pagar. Acima de tudo, os pacientes, com seus médicos, devem tomar suas próprias decisões de saúde livre de interferência do governo. O primeiro passo importante é a revogação do estatuto Obamacare que coloca o governo responsável pelos cuidados de saúde. O segundo passo é deixar o país passar para um sistema centrado no paciente, baseado no mercado que se concentra em cidadãos e não no governo. Princípios para a Reforma Para permitir que os americanos recuperem o controle de seus próprios cuidados de saúde e se beneficiam da concorrência em um mercado livre de seguros e cuidados de saúde, o Congresso deve revogar o estatuto Obamacare e promulgar centrado no paciente, reformas baseadas no mercado baseado em cinco princípios: , Controle e leve seu próprio seguro de saúde Deixe mercados livres fornecer os serviços de seguro e de saúde que as pessoas querem Encorajar os empregadores a fornecer um benefício de seguro de saúde portátil aos funcionários Ajudar aqueles que precisam de ajuda através da sociedade civil, o mercado livre e os estados e Proteger o direito de consciência e os filhos não nascidos. A Proteção ao Paciente e Affordable Care Act (Obamacare) move cuidados de saúde na direção errada. Coloca o governo, e não os pacientes, a cargo das decisões individuais de saúde. Além disso, não cumpre as promessas estabelecidas pelo presidente Barack Obama. Com cada dia que passa, torna-se mais claro que Obamacare não reduzirá prêmios para famílias americanas médias, curvar a curva de custo em gastos de saúde ou reduzir o déficit. Por estas razões, entre outros, Obamacare deve ser revogado. No entanto, um retorno ao status quo antes Obamacare não é o passo final. Os formuladores de políticas devem buscar reformas com base em cinco princípios básicos. A adoção dessas reformas transformaria os cuidados de saúde americanos na direção certa: para um sistema de saúde centrado no paciente e baseado no mercado. Princípio 1: Escolher, controlar e transportar seu próprio seguro de saúde. A verdadeira reforma da saúde deve promover a propriedade pessoal do seguro de saúde. Enquanto Obamacare usa trocas de seguros administradas pelo governo para limitar a escolha individual, reformas reais se concentrarão em incentivar os americanos a comprar apólices de seguro que eles podem levar com eles de trabalho para emprego e em aposentadoria em um mercado livre e competitivo. Os formuladores de políticas devem promulgar várias mudanças fundamentais para que essa cultura de propriedade de cuidados de saúde pessoais se enraize. Portabilidade. A maioria dos americanos obter cobertura através de seu local de trabalho. Isso permite que os empregadores ofereçam benefícios de saúde isentos de impostos a seus funcionários, enquanto os indivíduos que compram seguro de saúde por conta própria devem usar dólares após impostos. Como resultado, a maioria dos indivíduos com seguro de saúde privado obter essa cobertura de seu empregador.1 Ao invés de seguir o exemplo de Obamacares de forçar os americanos em bolsas de seguro de saúde governo-corrido, a verdadeira reforma centrada no paciente de cuidados de saúde tornaria seguro mais portátil. Os indivíduos devem ser capazes de comprar uma apólice de seguro quando eles são jovens e levar essa política com eles ao longo de suas vidas de trabalho em aposentadoria. Igual alívio fiscal. Enquanto Obamacare altera o tratamento fiscal do seguro de saúde, ele faz isso de uma forma que aumenta encargos sobre os contribuintes. Seu imposto de 40% sobre os chamados planos de seguro de saúde Cadillac é apenas um dos 18 aumentos de impostos separados incluídos na lei, 2 que, de acordo com o Escritório de Orçamento do Congresso e do Comitê Conjunto de Tributação, aumentará 771 bilhões em receita de 2013 para 2022.3 Uma abordagem melhor equalizaria o tratamento fiscal do seguro de saúde sem aumentar as receitas. A Heritage Foundation propôs anteriormente substituir a dedução existente pela cobertura de saúde fornecida pelo empregador por um crédito de imposto fixo que os indivíduos poderiam usar para adquirir uma apólice de seguro de saúde própria.4 Outra idéia, proposta pela primeira vez pelo então presidente George W. Bush, Daria a todos os americanos a aquisição de cobertura de saúde, seja através de um empregador ou por conta própria, a mesma dedução padrão para o seguro de saúde.5 Ambas as propostas assumem a neutralidade da receita em 10 anos. Ao contrário de Obamacare, eles não propõem usar a reforma para aumentar as receitas fiscais líquidas. Ambas as propostas permitiriam atingir dois objectivos importantes. Em primeiro lugar, iriam igualar o tratamento fiscal entre a cobertura de saúde fornecida através de um empregador e cobertura de saúde comprada por um indivíduo. Proporcionar igual tratamento fiscal iria remover um grande obstáculo que desencoraja os indivíduos a comprar e manter sua própria apólice de seguro de saúde por anos e tendo essa cobertura de trabalho para emprego. A equidade fiscal também encorajaria as empresas a fornecerem contribuições diretas para a cobertura de saúde dos trabalhadores ou a aumentar os salários em vez dos benefícios de saúde. Em segundo lugar, limitar o montante do benefício fiscal concedido, quer com um crédito de imposto, quer com uma dedução normal, incentivaria os indivíduos a tornarem-se mais inteligentes na aquisição de seguros de saúde. Estudos têm demonstrado que o atual benefício fiscal sem cobertura para o seguro de saúde fornecido pelo empregador encoraja as empresas a oferecer planos de saúde mais ricos e os indivíduos a consumir excessivamente os cuidados de saúde. De acordo com o Congressional Budget Office, a reforma do tratamento fiscal do seguro de saúde proporcionaria incentivos mais fortes para os inscritos para pesar os benefícios esperados e os custos das políticas ao comprar o seguro, ajudando assim a reduzir os custos. Através de seu novo sistema de controle do governo, Obamacare restringe a escolha eo acesso para muitos pacientes. O atuário não-partidário do Medicare concluiu que as reduções de reembolso do Medicare em Obamacare poderiam tornar 40% de todos os hospitais não rentáveis ​​a longo prazo, restringindo assim o acesso dos beneficiários aos cuidados.7 Além disso, os relatórios preliminares sugerem que as bolsas de seguro Obamacares terão redes limitadas de provedores numa tentativa Para mitigar aumentos de prêmios para indivíduos que compram cobertura de câmbio.8 O elemento mais importante de qualquer sistema de saúde é a relação de confiança entre médico e paciente. Qualquer sistema de cuidados de saúde verdadeiramente centrado no paciente deve trabalhar para preservar esses laços importantes e reparar os danos causados ​​por Obamacare. Incentivando as Poupanças Pessoais. Desde a sua criação em 2004, contas de poupança de saúde (HSAs) tornaram-se uma forma popular para milhões de famílias para construir poupança para as despesas de cuidados de saúde necessários. Os planos de HSA combinam uma opção de seguro de saúde que caracteriza uma proteção deductiblebut mais catastrófica ligeiramente mais elevada no caso de despesas médicas significativas com uma conta poupança isenta de impostos. Como uma das várias novas opções de saúde orientadas pelo consumidor, HSAs incentivar os pacientes a assumir o controle de seus próprios cuidados de saúde, proporcionando incentivos financeiros para os consumidores a servir como sábios compradores de cuidados de saúde. Nos últimos anos, milhões de famílias aproveitaram as ferramentas inovadoras que os planos HSA oferecem. O número de pessoas inscritas em apólices elegíveis para HSA disparou de 1 milhão em março de 2005 para 15,5 milhões em janeiro de 2013.9 Numerosos estudos também mostraram que indivíduos com planos de HSA usaram ferramentas fornecidas por sua seguradora de saúde para se envolver mais com seus cuidados de saúde Por exemplo, usando ferramentas de suporte on-line, indagando sobre o custo e a qualidade do provedor e buscando cuidados preventivos.10 Como resultado, os indivíduos haviam economizado pelo menos 12,4 bilhões em suas HSAs até o final de 2011.11 Contudo, Poupança pessoal. Por exemplo, de acordo com a lei atual, os fundos contribuídos para uma HSA não podem ser usados ​​para pagar os prêmios de seguros, exceto em circunstâncias muito limitadas.12 Alterar essa restrição e aumentar os limites de contribuição da HSA aumentaria tanto a poupança pessoal quanto a propriedade pessoal do seguro saúde. Cobertura para Condições Pré-Existentes. O problema de proporcionar acesso a indivíduos com condições pré-existentes, embora muito reais, não exigiu as grandes mudanças no sistema de saúde das Américas incluído no Obamacare. Em 2011, a Administração Obama sugeriu que até 129 milhões de americanos com condições pré-existentes estavam em risco e poderiam ser negados a cobertura sem mudanças massivas Obamacares nos mercados de seguros Américas.13 Essa afirmação era extremamente falso. De acordo com a lei anterior, indivíduos com cobertura patrocinada pelo empregador (90 por cento do mercado privado) não podiam ser submetidos a exclusões de condições pré-existentes.14 De fato, antes de Obamacare, o número de indivíduos com condições pré-existentes que realmente não podiam Obter cobertura de saúde era muito menor, eo problema só existia no mercado individual. Não é, portanto, de estranhar que, de acordo com os dados mais recentes, apenas 134.708 indivíduos tenham se inscrito no programa federal complementar de alto risco, desde que foi criado sob Obamacare para cobrir indivíduos com condições pré-existentes15, ainda menores do que os 200.000 indivíduos Originalmente projetados para se inscrever.16 Os Estados poderiam usar uma variedade de abordagens para fornecer cobertura a pessoas que não podem comprar seguro. Por exemplo, 35 estados já operam pools de alto risco com um registro coletivo atual de 227.000 indivíduos para garantir o acesso à cobertura para indivíduos com condições pré-existentes.17 Alternativamente, os estados poderiam estabelecer mecanismos de resseguro ou de transferência de risco sob os quais as seguradoras reembolsariam cada Outro para o custo de tratar indivíduos com despesas médicas elevadas sem o financiamento adicionado dos contribuintes do estado ou federais. Uma ou outra abordagem seria muito preferível aos montantes maciços de regulação, tributação e gastos governamentais sob Obamacare. Princípio 2: Permita que os mercados livres ofereçam os serviços de seguro e de saúde que as pessoas desejam. Muitas pessoas já aprenderam que, em parte devido ao Obamacare, com seus intercâmbios de saúde administrados pelo governo, novas burocracias e outras formas de controle governamental, não poderão manter seu atual seguro de saúde.18 Há uma maneira melhor, E envolve oferecer mais opções através de incentivos de mercado, em vez de minar os mercados através de uma burocracia centralizada. Compras em vários estados. Atualmente, os mercados de seguros estaduais sofrem de duas falhas: muitos mercados não são competitivos, com até 70% das áreas metropolitanas consideradas altamente concentradas, 19 e mandatos de benefícios onerosos aumentam os prêmios de seguro de saúde. Uma análise anterior da Heritage Foundation concluiu que cada mandato de benefício aumenta os custos em uma média de aproximadamente 0,75 por mês.20 Outro estudo descobriu que os estados impuseram um total de 2,271 mandatos de benefícios ou aproximadamente 45 por estado.21 Juntos, esses dois estudos sugerem que a Efeito cumulativo desses mandatos poderia aumentar os prémios em 2040 por mês, ou centenas de dólares por ano. O Congresso pode ajudar a mitigar esses problemas removendo barreiras federais ao comércio interestadual em produtos de seguro de saúde. Indivíduos devem ter a capacidade de comprar produtos de seguros em todas as linhas do Estado, escolhendo o plano de saúde que melhor atende às suas necessidades, independentemente da localização de seu emissor. Mecanismos de agrupamento. Outra forma de melhorar a escolha dos pacientes e tornar os mercados de seguros mais competitivos envolveria novos arranjos de compras e mecanismos de pooling. Pequenas empresas, associações de membros individuais, grupos religiosos e organizações fraternais devem ser capazes de vender apólices de seguro de saúde através de novos arranjos de compra em grupo. O papel dos governos federais deve ser remover as barreiras a tais arranjos. Ao alargar os benefícios da cobertura do grupo para além do local de trabalho, estas novas disposições de compra também incentivariam a portabilidade da cobertura do seguro de saúde. Estas reformas permitiriam aos indivíduos obter seu plano de saúde de uma fonte confiável com a qual eles provavelmente teriam uma associação mais longa do que com seu empregador, criando uma forma de cobertura de saúde que os americanos realmente poderiam possuir. Contratação Privada do Medicare. Seniors também poderia beneficiar do paciente-centrado Medicare reformas, uma das quais deve ajudar a restaurar o relacionamento médico-paciente. O Congresso deve eliminar as restrições anticoncorrenciais que impedem médicos e pacientes de contratar privadamente para serviços médicos fora do Medicare tradicional.22 O Congresso também pode reestruturar o benefício do Medicare, modernizando o projeto de um programa que permaneceu praticamente inalterado desde a sua criação quase 50 anos Estas mudanças iriam melhorar a escolha do paciente, preservando a solvência dos programas para futuras gerações de americanos. Reforma Medicare. De acordo com o atuário do Medicare, as reduções de reembolso do Medicare em Obamacare farão com que 15% de todos os hospitais não sejam rentáveis ​​dentro da década e 40% não sejam rentáveis ​​até 2050.25 Como resultado, os idosos podem enfrentar Obstáculos significativos à obtenção de cuidados de saúde no futuro. Há um caminho melhor. Especificamente, o Congresso deve proporcionar aos idosos com um subsídio generoso para comprar um plano de Medicare de sua escolha. Os idosos que escolherem um plano que custe menos do que o subsídio pagariam menos, enquanto os idosos que escolherem um plano que custe mais do que o subsídio pagariam a diferença de preço.26 Escolha do consumidor e concorrência. Como parte de seu sistema de controle do governo, Obamacare dificulta a capacidade dos pacientes para escolher seu próprio plano de saúde. Uma pesquisa descobriu que os mandatos e exigências da lei significam que mais de metade de todas as apólices de seguro compradas diretamente por indivíduos não serão qualificadas como aprovadas pelo governo sob Obamacare.27 Como resultado, muitos americanos estão descobrindo que não serão capazes de Manter o plano de saúde que eles têm e como28 apesar Presidente Obama Obamas repetidas promessas.29 Verdadeiro centrada no paciente reforma reforçaria HSAs e outros produtos de saúde dirigidos pelo consumidor, tais como reembolsos de saúde arranjos e contas de gastos flexíveis que têm a capacidade de transformar os cuidados de saúde americanos. Um estudo publicado na prestigiada revista Health Affairs em 2012 descobriu que a expansão da penetração no mercado de planos de saúde orientados pelo consumidor de 13% para 50% de todos os empregadores poderia reduzir os custos de saúde em até 73,6 bilhões por ano, uma redução de 9,1% .30 Em outras palavras, a expansão da escolha do consumidor e da concorrência poderia reduzir os custos e gastos em saúde, o oposto do Obamacare, que restringe a escolha do consumidor e aumenta os custos e despesas de saúde. Princípio 3: Incentivar os empregadores a fornecer um seguro de saúde portátil benefício. Porque a maioria dos americanos tradicionalmente têm recebido seguro de saúde de seus empregadores, muitas pessoas têm poucas, se houver, escolhas ao selecionar um plano de saúde. De acordo com o mais amplo levantamento de planos de empregadores, quase nove entre 10 empresas (87 por cento) oferecem apenas um tipo de plano, e apenas 2 por cento oferecem três ou mais tipos de plano.31 Como resultado, os funcionários têm apenas uma capacidade muito limitada para escolher o Que melhor atenda às suas necessidades. Contribuição Definida. Uma solução ideal iria converter o sistema tradicional de seguro de saúde fornecido pelo empregador de um modelo de benefício definido para um modelo de contribuição definida. Ao invés de fornecer seguro saúde diretamente, os empregadores, em vez disso, oferecem contribuições em dinheiro para seus trabalhadores, permitindo-lhes comprar os planos de sua própria escolha. Combinado com as mudanças no tratamento fiscal do seguro de saúde e melhorias regulatórias para melhorar a portabilidade, passar para um modelo de contribuição definida para o seguro de saúde permitiria aos trabalhadores comprar uma apólice de seguro de saúde em sua juventude e levar essa política com eles de trabalho para emprego em aposentadoria . Essas mudanças também permitiriam que os trabalhadores e as famílias negociassem contribuições de vários empregadores em vez de ter apenas um empregador pagando a conta. Princípio 4: Ajudar aqueles que precisam de ajuda através da sociedade civil, do mercado livre e dos estados. Embora algumas reformas de saúde, como mudar o tratamento fiscal do seguro de saúde e reformar o programa do Medicare permanecem totalmente dentro do âmbito do governo federal, os estados também desempenham um papel crítico na promulgação de reformas que podem diminuir os custos, melhorar o acesso aos cuidados e modernizar programas estaduais Medicaid . Servindo como laboratórios da democracia, os estados podem fornecer exemplos para que outros estados e o governo federal sigam. Como muitas reformas estatais não dependem do envolvimento ou da aprovação de Washington, os estados podem avançar com soluções inovadoras baseadas no mercado, mesmo quando os burocratas federais tentam implementar a abordagem centrada no governo de Obamacares. Inovação do Estado. Se for dado o tempo e o espaço adequados por um governo federal demasiado intrusivo, os estados podem agir por conta própria para abrir seus mercados de seguros. Alguns estados já agiram para abrir seus mercados de seguros. Em 2011, a Geórgia promulgou legislação que autoriza a compra interestadual de seguro de saúde e a Maine aprovou uma legislação que permite que transportadoras de outros estados da Nova Inglaterra ofereçam produtos de seguro aos seus cidadãos.32 Pouco antes de Obamacare ter sido promulgada em 2010, o Wyoming agiu para permitir que fora do estado Enquanto que pode levar algum tempo antes que uma massa crítica de estados crie um verdadeiro mercado interestadual de seguros, esses esforços recentes demonstram o interesse nacional em expandir a escolha e a concorrência dos seguros de saúde. Medicaid Premium Assistance. Entre várias formas de cobertura de saúde, o programa Medicaid é conhecido por sua má qualidade e resultados para os pacientes. Um estudo recente do Oregon concluiu que, após dois anos, os pacientes em Medicaid não conseguiram benefícios de saúde mensuráveis ​​de sua cobertura de seguro.35 Mesmo os participantes reconheceram que muitos médicos, por causa de Os programas de baixas taxas de reembolso, não irá tratar pacientes Medicaidcomplicar que o programa não é seguro real.36 Obamacare torna os problemas Medicaids pior, enviando milhões mais americanos para este pobre programa administrado pelo governo. A verdadeira reforma iria subsidiar o seguro de saúde privado para os beneficiários de baixa renda do Medicaid. A Heritage Foundation já havia promovido essa solução como parte de sua reforma abrangente do programa Medicaid.37 O Congresso deveria tomar medidas para encorajar os estados a fornecer assistência premium. Tais programas promoveriam a posse dos cuidados de saúde e proporcionariam aos beneficiários um melhor acesso aos cuidados do que o programa tradicional Medicaid. Medicaid Reformas. Apesar da presença iminente de Obamacare, os estados devem continuar sempre que possível para procurar oportunidades para reformar seus programas de Medicaid, movendo em direção a cuidados mais personalizados e incluindo fortes incentivos para a responsabilidade pessoal. Os Estados também podem buscar flexibilidade adicional de Washington para modernizar o atendimento, muitos governadores já fizeram tais pedidos.38 O Congresso também deve agir para reformar e modernizar o Medicaid. Efforts in this vein would include comprehensive reformssuch as a block grant or per capita spending capsthat trade additional flexibility for states in exchange for a fixed spending allotment from Washington.39 Other reforms could incentivize and subsidize Medicaid beneficiaries to move to private insurance policies that they can own and keep. All of these reforms would focus on modernizing Medicaid to provide better quality care, reduce costs, and promote personal responsibility and ownership. Reducing Fraud. Regrettably, many government health programs are riddled with fraud. Some estimates suggest that as much as 60 billion in Medicare spending may involve fraud.40 Similar problems plague many state Medicaid programs. A 2005 New York Times expos on Medicaid fraud quoted James Mehmet, a former chief investigator in New York State, as saying that 10 percent of the states Medicaid spending constituted outright fraud, with another 20 percent to 30 percent comprising unnecessary spending that might not be criminal. Overall, Mehmet estimated that questionable Medicaid spending totaled 18 billion in New York State alone.41 Congress and the states should do more to crack down on the waste, fraud, and abuse that plague Americas health entitlements. Reforms should end the current pay and chase model, under which investigators must attempt to track down fraudulent claims and providers after they have already received reimbursement. Other solutions would enhance penalties for those who engage in fraudulent activityfor instance, buying or selling personal patient information, which is often used to perpetrate fraud schemes. These and other reforms would save taxpayer dollars, helping to preserve Medicare and Medicaid for future generations. Removing Barriers to Care. With studies indicating that America faces a doctor shortage in future years, policymakers should focus on removing barriers that discourage institutions from assisting those who need health care.42 Regrettably, Americas litigious culture has resulted in the widespread practice of defensive medicine by doctors and other health practitioners. In response, some states have changed their medical liability laws to discourage frivolous lawsuits, prompting doctors to move to those states to practice medicine. Were other states to adopt such reforms, this would encourage doctorsa majority of whom believe the practice of medicine is in jeopardy43 to remain in practice and would encourage students to join the profession. In addition, reforms that improve the liability system could reduce the prevalence of defensive medicine practices and thereby help to reduce health costs. One government estimate found that reasonable limits on non-economic damages could reduce total health spending by as much as 126 billion per year by reducing the amount of defensive medicine practiced by physicians.44 More recently, the Congressional Budget Office concluded that enacting comprehensive liability reform would reduce health care spending by tens of billions of dollars per year, reducing the federal budget deficit by tens of billions over the next decade.45 To help to eliminate barriers to care and reduce health costs, states should reform their liability systems, capping non-economic damages and taking other steps to reduce the incidence of frivolous lawsuits and ensure proper legal protections for health care providers.46 However, because liability reform and torts in general are properly a state issue, Congress should not impose liability reforms except where the federal government has a clear, constitutionally based federal interest. Examples might include liability reforms with respect to medical products approved by the federal Food and Drug Administration or when the federal government is a payer of health care services, as it is with Medicare and Medicaid.47 Reforming Scope-of-Practice and Certificate of Need. State governments control the licensure of both medical professionals and medical practices. By removing artificial obstacles that restrict the supply of medical providers, states can expand access to health services across populations while unleashing new competition that can work to reduce costs. States can reform their health care systems by re-examining scope-of-practice laws, which frequently limit the ability of nurse practitioners and other health professionals to care for patients. In 2010, the Institute of Medicine concluded that state regulations often restrict the ability of nurses to provide care legally and that policymakers should remove barriers that limit the ability of nurses to practice to the full extent of their education, training, and competence.48 Many states have begun to reform their scope-of-practice laws to allow physician assistants, nurse practitioners, and others to treat more patients even as entrenched interests have fought to preserve their preferential treatment.49 States should follow the recommendations of the Institute of Medicine in reforming their scope-of-practice laws to allow all medical professionals to practice to the full extent of their training. A total of 36 states also impose certificate-of-need requirements, which impede the introduction of new hospitals and medical facilities. These laws require organizations seeking to build new medical facilities to obtain a certificate from a state board that the facility is needed in a particular area.50 As with scope-of-practice requirements, reforming or eliminating certificate-of-need restrictions would encourage the development of new medical facilities, expanding access to care and giving patients more choices. Principle 5: Protect the right of conscience and unborn children. Government should not compel individuals to undertake actions that violate their deeply held religious beliefs. Regrettably, Obamacare imposes just such a requirement on Americans, forcing many employers to offer, and individuals to purchase, health coverage that violates the core tenets of their faith regarding the protection of life.51 Congress should ensure that individuals never again are required to violate their religious beliefs to meet a government diktat. Rights of Conscience. Congress should protect the rights of consumers, insurers, employers, and medical personnel to refrain from facilitating, participating in, funding, or providing services contrary to their consciences or the tenets of their religious faith. Enacting these protections would prevent Americans from facing the moral dilemma presented by Obamacare, which has forced individuals, employers, and religious organizations to choose between violating the law and violating their faith or consciences. Permanent Prohibition on Taxpayer-Funded Abortion. Congress should make permanent in law the existing annually enacted prohibitions on the use of federal taxpayer funds to finance abortions or health insurance coverage that includes elective abortions. These protections, enacted as the Hyde Amendment every year since 1976, prevent the use of taxpayer dollars to fund elective abortions.52 After nearly 40 years of renewing these protections on an annual basis, Congress should finally make them permanent in law. A New Vision for Health Reform Obamacare moves American health care in the wrong direction. Not only does the law raise health costs rather than lowering them, but it creates new bureaucracies that will erode the doctorpatient relationship.53 The trillions of dollars in new spending for Obamacare will place a massive fiscal burden on future generations of taxpayers.54 For these reasons and more, Congress should repeal the law in its entirety. Once this has been done, policymakers should then advance health reforms that move toward patient-centered, market-based health care. Such reforms would promote personal choice and ownership of health insurance enable the free market to respond to consumer demands encourage portability of coverage for workers help civil society, the free markets, and the states to assist those in need and protect the rights of faith, conscience, and life. 1 According to the most recent census data, 86.2 percent of Americans with private health insurance coverage obtained that coverage through an employer. Carmen DeNavas-Walt, Bernadette D. Proctor, and Jessica C. Smith, Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2011 . U. S. Census Bureau, September 2012, p. 65, Table C-1, census. govprod2012pubsp60-243.pdf (accessed September 20, 2013). 3 Joint Committee on Taxation, Estimated Revenue Effects of a Proposal to Repeal Certain Tax Provisions Contained in the Affordable Care Act (ACA), June 15, 2012, and Congressional Budget Office, Table 2: CBOs May 2013 Estimate of the Budgetary Effects of the Insurance Coverage Provisions Contained in the Affordable Care Act, cbo. govsitesdefaultfilescbofilesattachments44190EffectsAffordableCareActHealthInsuranceCoverage2.pdf. The total amount of tax revenue collected from the individual mandate, employer mandate, and 40 percent excise tax on high-cost health plans comes from the CBOs May 2013 estimate. For all other taxes, the amount of tax revenue totaled comes from the Joint Committee on Taxations June 2012 estimation. 5 The White House, Affordable, Accessible, and Flexible Health Coverage, 2007, georgewbush-whitehouse. archives. govstateoftheunion2007initiativeshealthcare. html (accessed September 20, 2013). Recently, the House Republican Study Committee included a standard deduction in its proposal for health reform. See U. S. House of Representatives, Republican Study Committee, The American Health Care Reform Act, September 18, 2013, rsc. scalise. house. govsolutionsrsc-betterway. htm (accessed September 25, 2013). 6 Congressional Budget Office, Key Issues in Analyzing Major Health Insurance Proposals . December 2008, pp. 8487, cbo. govsitesdefaultfilescbofilesftpdocs99xxdoc992412-18-keyissues. pdf (accessed September 20, 2013). 7 John D. Shatto and M. Kent Clemens, Projected Medicare Expenditures Under Illustrative Scenarios with Alternative Payment Updates to Medicare Providers, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Office of the Actuary, May 31, 2013, pp. 810, cms. govResearch-Statistics-Data-and-SystemsStatistics-Trends-and-ReportsReportsTrustFundsDownloads2013TRAlternativeScenario. pdf (accessed September 20, 2013). 8 Anna Wilde Mathews, Many Health Insurers to Limit Choices of Doctors, Hospitals, The Wall Street Journal . August 15, 2013, online. wsjarticleSB10001424127887323446404579010800462478682.html (accessed September 20, 2013 subscription required). 9 Americas Health Insurance Plans, Center for Policy and Research, January 2013 Census Shows 15.5 Million People Covered by Health Savings AccountHigh-Deductible Health Plans (HSAHDHPs), June 2013, ahip. orgHSACensus2013PDF (accessed September 20, 2013). 10 Americas Health Insurance Plans, Center for Policy and Research, Health Savings Accounts and Account-Based Health Plans: Research Highlights, July 2012, ahip. orgHSAHighlightsReport072012 (accessed September 20, 2013). 11 Devenir, Health Savings Accounts Surpass 12.4 Billion in 2011, January 31, 2012, devenir2012devenir2011yearendsurvey (accessed September 20, 2013). 12 For the definition of qualified medical expenses, see 26 U. S. Code 223(d)(2). HSA funds can be used to purchase health insurance only for COBRA continuation health coverage, health insurance purchased during periods of unemployment, Medigap supplemental coverage, or long-term care insurance (within certain limits). 13 U. S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of Planning and Evaluation, At Risk: Pre-Existing Conditions Could Affect 1 in 2 Americans, November 2011, aspe. hhs. govhealthreports2012pre-existingindex. shtml (accessed September 20, 2013). 14 Edmund Haislmaier, HHS Report on Obamacares Preexisting Conditions Impact: Say What. The Heritage Foundation, The Foundry, January 19, 2011, blog. heritage. org20110119hhs-report-on-obamacares-preexisting-conditions-impact-say-what . 15 Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight, Covering People with Pre-Existing Conditions: Report on the Implementation and Operation of the Pre-Existing Condition Insurance Plan Program, January 31, 2013, cms. govCCIIOResourcesFilesDownloadspcipannualreport01312013.pdf (accessed September 24, 2013). 17 National Association of State Comprehensive Health Insurance Plans, Pool Membership2011, September 2012, naschip. org2012Quick20ChecksPool20Membership202011.pdf (accessed September 20, 2013). 19 Press release, New AMA Study Finds Anticompetitive Market Conditions Are Common Across Managed Care Plans, American Medical Association, November 28, 2012, ama-assn. orgamapubnewsnews2012-11-28-study-finds-anticompetitive-market-conditions-common. page (accessed September 20, 2013). 21 Council for Affordable Health Insurance, Health Insurance Mandates in the States 2012: Executive Summary, April 9, 2013, cahi. orgcahicontentsresourcespdfMandatesinthestates2012Execsumm. pdf (accessed September 24, 2013). 23 Robert E. Moffit and Rea S. Hederman, Jr. Medicare Savings: Five Steps to a Down Payment on Medicare Reform, Heritage Foundation Issue Brief No. 3908, April 11, 2013, heritage. orgresearchreports201304medicare-savings-5-steps-to-a-downpayment-on-structural-reform . 25 Shatto and Clemens, Projected Medicare Expenditures Under Illustrative Scenarios, pp. 810. 26 Owcharenko, Saving the American Dream: A Blueprint for Putting Patients First. 27 Jon R. Gabel, Ryan Lore, Roland D. McDevitt, Jeremy D. Pickreign, Heidi Whitmore, Michael Slover, and Ethan Levy-Forsythe, More Than Half of Individual Health Plans Offer Coverage That Falls Short of What Can Be Sold Through Exchanges as of 2014, Health Affairs . May 2012, content. healthaffairs. orgcontentearly20120522hlthaff.2011.1082 (accessed September 20, 2013 subscription required). 28 Jacobs, Obamacare: Taking Away Americans Health Coverage. 29 For instance, see a 2008 campaign document answering the question Will I have to change plans under the Obama proposal: No, you will not have to change plans. For those who have insurance now, nothing will change under the Obama planexcept that you will pay less. Obama for America, Background Questions and Answers on Health Care Plan, 2008, scribddoc191306barack-obama-08-healthcare-faq (accessed September 20, 2013). 30 Amelia M. Haviland, M. Susan Marquis, Roland D. McDevitt, and Neeraj Sood, Growth of Consumer-Directed Health Plans to One-Half of All Employer-Sponsored Insurance Could Save 57 Billion Annually, Health Affairs . May 2012, content. healthaffairs. orgcontent3151009.abstract (accessed September 20, 2013 subscription required). 31 Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust, Employer Health Benefits: 2013 Annual Survey . August 2013, p. 56, Exhibit 4.1, kaiserfamilyfoundation. files. wordpress2013088465-employer-health-benefits-20131.pdf (accessed September 23, 2013). 32 National Council of State Legislatures, Out-of-State Health InsuranceAllowing the Purchase (State Implementation Report), updated September 2012, ncsl. orgissues-researchhealthout-of-state-health-insurance-purchases. aspx (accessed September 23, 2013). 34 For a summary of many of these studies, see Kevin D. Dayaratna, Studies Show: Medicaid Patients Have Worse Access and Outcomes than the Privately Insured, Heritage Foundation Backgrounde r No. 2740, November 7, 2012, heritage. orgresearchreports201211studies-show-medicaid-patients-have-worse-access-and-outcomes-than-the-privately-insured. See also Scott Gottlieb, Medicaid Is Worse Than No Coverage at All, The Wall Street Journal . March 10, 2011, online. wsjarticleSB10001424052748704758904576188280858303612.html (accessed September 23, 2013). 36 Vanessa Fuhrmans, Note to Medicaid Patients: The Doctor Wont See You, The Wall Street Journal . July 19, 2007, online. wsjarticleSB118480165648770935.html (accessed September 23, 2013 subscription required). 38 Republican Governors Public Policy Committee, Health Care Task Force, A New Medicaid: A Flexible, Innovative, and Accountable Future, August 30, 2011, rga. orghomepagegop-govs-release-medicaid-reform-report (accessed September 23, 2013). 39 Owcharenko, Medicaid Reform: More Than a Block Grant Is Needed. 40 CBS News, Medicare Fraud: A 60 Billion Crime, 60 Minutes . September 5, 2010, cbsnews8301-18560162-5414390.html (accessed September 23, 2013). 41 Clifford Levy and Michael Luo, New York Medicaid Fraud May Reach into Billions, The New York Times . July 18, 2005, nytimes20050718nyregion18medicaid. html (accessed September 23, 2013). 42 Nisha Nathan, Doctor Shortage Could Cause Health Care Crash, ABC News, November 13, 2012, abcnews. goHealthdoctor-shortage-health-care-crashstoryid17708473 (accessed September 23, 2013). 43 Deloitte, Deloitte 2013 Survey of U. S. Physicians: Physician Perspectives About Health Care Reform and the Future of the Medical Profession, 2013, p. 3, deloitteassetsDcom-UnitedStatesLocal20AssetsDocumentsuschs2013SurveyofUSPhysicians031813.pdf (accessed September 23, 2013). 44 U. S. Department of Health and Human Services, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation, Addressing the New Health Care Crisis: Reforming the Medical Litigation System to Improve the Quality of Health Care, March 2003, p. 16, aspe. hhs. govdaltcpreportsmedliab. pdf (accessed September 23, 2013). 46 Randolph W. Pate and Derek Hunter, Code Blue: The Case for Serious State Medical Liability Reform, Heritage Foundation Backgrounder No. 1908, January 17, 2006, heritage. orgresearchreports200601code-blue-the-case-for-serious-state-medical-liability-reform . 47 Hans von Spakovsky, Medical Malpractice Reform: States vs. the Federal Government, The Heritage Foundation, The Foundry, March 19, 2012, blog. heritage. org20120319medical-malpractice-reform-states-vs-the-federal-government . 48 Institute of Medicine, The Future of Nursing: Focus on Scope of Practice, Report Brief, October 2010, iom. edu mediaFilesReport20Files2010The-Future-of-NursingNursing20Scope20of20Practice20201020Brief. pdf (accessed September 23, 2013). 49 Melinda Beck, Battles Erupt over Filling Doctors Shoes, The Wall Street Journal . February 5, 2013, online. wsjarticleSB10001424127887323644904578271872578661246.html (accessed September 23, 2013), and Melinda Beck, Nurse Practitioners Seek Right to Treat Patients on Their Own, The Wall Street Journal . August 15, 2013, online. wsjarticleSB10001424127887323455104579013193992224008.html (accessed September 23, 2013 subscription required). 50 National Conference of State Legislatures, Certificate of Need: State Laws and Programs, updated March 2012, ncsl. orgissues-researchhealthcon-certificate-of-need-state-laws. aspx (accessed September 23, 2013).Patterns, Set-ups, Analysis What is the Short Skirt Trade A SHORT SKIRT is a quick scalp trade made in the direction of the short-term trend. The setup occurs after the SampP has made a sharp impulse move. The pattern tends to look like a continuation flag on a 1-minute chart. We call it a Short Skirt because the trade usually lasts between 2 - 10 minutes. The concept is - quick in and quick out without getting caught. We try to look for Short Skirt setups that have the potential for a minimum of three points in the trade. An initial 3-point STOP is placed from the trade entry price. The objective for the trade is a retest of the previous swing high or low, even though the market often makes a new leg up or down. How do you enter Short Skirt Trades We watch for a price retracement of 2 to 4 points from the most recently formed swing high or low. For an untrained eye, it may be useful to watch the 20-period exponential moving average on a 1-minute chart, though the price does not always retrace that far. Sometimes the reactions that go sideways instead of back to the EMA can be the best trades. The initial price retracement lasts about 5 minutes. When the reaction back starts to stall, we usually enter a market order. It is ideal to enter the trade BEFORE the price starts moving back in the direction of the original trend. It is also most efficient to work a bid or offer as the price is correcting back down, but sometimes the type of order used is a matter of personal style. Since the price has already corrected back 2-3 points when a trade is entered, it is rare that the initial 3-point stop is hit. We tighten the stop up after the trade moves off in our favor. After the trade starts to work, immediately pull your stop down to the last swing high or low in case the market does not make a full retest back down. What is a BullBear Flag These patterns are taken directly from classical charting (Schabacker, Edwards amp Magee, etc.) and have withstood the test of time. Flags are a continuation pattern in a trending market. They are found on all time frames, all markets, and offer one of the better risk reward ratios for trade setups. A flag formation should be preceded by a pole or initial momentum move in the direction of the trend. The ensuing consolidation tends to be relatively shallow. Continuation patterns are much shorter than reversal patterns. The longer a flag goes sideways, the greater the odds that it will turn into a reversal pattern as opposed to leading to a new leg in the direction of the trend. What is a Grail Trade The Holy Grail trade was originally described in my Street Smarts book. The setup occurs when the markets trend has been strong enough to cause a 14-period ADX to rise above 30. When the price then retraces back to the 20-period EMA, odds favor a retest of the most recently formed high or low. What is an Anti Setup The Anti looks like a small bull or bear flag pattern that occurs either in the middle of a trading range or just after a market has reversed from a sustained trend move. Classic bull or bear flags are continuation patterns that can only occur in a market that has a well-defined trend. Sometimes an Anti will look like the middle retracement of an A-B-C pattern. Thus, we are able to get a measured move objective that is based off the prior swing. The Anti MUST be preceded by a short-term IMPULSE move. Buy Antis are more frequent than Sell Anti setups. The long trades will have the best odds of success if the prior up leg is GREATER than the previous down leg. Oscillator pattern recognition based on either the 310 oscillator or a 7-period K, 16-period D combination of stochastics can also be used to identify this setup. What is Momentum Pinball Momentum Pinball was originally introduced in the Street Smarts book as setup to indicate a Buy Day or a Sell Short Day ala George Douglas Taylor. Taylor looked to go short after 1-2 days of rally, and cover and go long after 1-2 days of decline. The pinball indicator is calculated by using a 3-period RSI of the daily net change. The Street Smarts book contains a complete and detailed description of this trade. (Momentum Pinball, Anti, Holy Grail, 8020 and 9010 bars, and 2-period ROC signals are some of my ORIGINAL concepts. It is repeatedly brought to my attention that there are individuals on the internet offering newsletters and courses based on my original copy-write protected materials. Please note that I do not have any affiliation or association with these entities.) What is an Oops Trade Oops is an expression originally coined by Larry Williams. The setup occurs when the opening price gaps outside the previous days range. A buy (or sell) stop is placed just inside the previous days range in case the market then closes the gap, indicating a reversal. The trade is best treated as a scalp trade and exited before the close. This pattern has no long term forecasting value. What are the main indicators you use on your charts We use the same indicators on all markets, all time frames. We use a 20-period EMA (exponential moving average), a price oscillator, and a 14-period ADX. The oscillator that we use is the difference between a 3 and 10 period simple moving average, with a 16-period simple moving average of the 310. We also use Keltner Channels based on a 2.5 ATR centered around the 20-period EMA. Keep in mind that indicators are just a crutch to tell you what is already there on bar charts. Many traders do best when they learn to read bar charts without the use of indicators, oscillators, etc. What is the Breakout Mode We use a breakout mode strategy when the market has had some form of range contraction. A trend day, or large range expansion day, often follows periods of range contraction, or small average daily ranges. When we are in breakout mode, we use strategies to enter in the direction the market is moving, instead of waiting for a reaction in the price. How do you measure market breadth, put call ratio, and volume Market breadth is monitored by looking at the number of advancing issues minus the number of declining issues on the NYSE. PutCall data is provided by the individual exchanges. We look at the equity only put call ratios, in addition to the index put call volume ratios. For putcall data updated every half hour, you can use this link to Chicago Board Options Exchange: cboeMktDatadefault. asp We look at the volume on the NYSE and compare it to readings made at the same time on previous days. What time frames do you look at. Our initial nightly analysis is always done off the daily and weekly time frames. During the trading day, we use 15, 30, 60 and 120-minute charts. For the SP futures, 1 and 5 minute charts are also helpful. Most often, though, we tend to watch the last price. A trader, who can monitor the basic support and resistance levels by watching the tape action, will often be one step ahead of the trader using bar charts. It is also easier to monitor multiple markets and market internals simultaneously when looking at a quote board instead of charts. Please define TICK, TIKI, TRIN, and VIX. TICK: This is the net change of all NYSE stocks on an uptick minus all NYSE stocks on a downtick. Plus or minus 1200 tends to be an extreme reading. in a trending market environment extremes in the ticks can be used as a momentum indicator indicating further price movement to come in the direction of the trend. however when the market is in consolidation mode, after it has already had a big move, ticks will mark the ends of the short term swings up and down. TIKI: This is the difference between all DOW stocks on an uptick minus all DOW stocks on a downtick. Plus 24 or minus 24 tend to be extreme readings. TRIN: The TRIN is also known as the ARMS Index after its creator, Dick Arms. It is computed as follows: (Advancing IssuesDeclining Issues) (Up VolumeDown Volume). We watch the direction TRIN is moving to indicate the overall trend of the market. For example, if the TRIN goes from .80 to 1.00, this would indicate selling is coming into the market. VIX: This is the Volatility Index that is based on the implied volatility of the at the money OEX puts and calls Most real time data feeds transmit these indicators. However, different data feeds may use different symbols. If you have any questions regarding symbol code, please contact your data vendor directly. What is a Z Day A Z day is a consolidation day that often follows a trend day. The morning period is characterized by a testing back and forth in the price action. We use a different set of trade strategies on these days than we do on other days. one of our favorite trades is the bollinger band trade. see bollinger band explaination in the FAQ What is an NR7 day An NR7 is a day in which the todays daily range (todays high price minus low price) is narrower than the previous six days. The significance of this pattern is that it represents a marked decline in price volatility. Range expansion and an increase in price volatility tend to follow an NR7 day. An NR4 day is similar to an NR7 day except that it represents a day in which the range is the narrower than the previous three days. Toby Crabel originally presented the concepts of NR4, NR7, WR7 etc. in his Market Analytics Letter written in the 1980s. We give credit to him for initiating research in this area. His original articles were published in the magazine, Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities. What is a WR7 day A WR7 is a day in which the todays daily range (todays high price minus low price) is wider than the range of the previous 6 days. The significance of this pattern is that it represents an expansion in price volatility. A trader can often buy or sell a test of the WR7 days high or low, on the following day for a scalp trade. What is the 2-period ROC The 2 period Rate-of-Change is todays close minus the close two days ago. For example, to get Fridays 2-period ROC, you would subtract Wednesdays close from Fridays close. The 2-period ROC is useful in highlighting a two to three day trading cycle as explained in the Taylor Trading Technique. Raw momentum is the only derivative of price that we have found to offer statistically significant results in our quantitative research. Our results with this indicator have proven to be durable and robust across all markets. What is Average True Range (ATR) The Average True Range (ATR) was introduced by Welles Wilder in his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. ATR is a measure of volatility, and it is a component of the ADX indicator. ATR is calculated by finding the greatest value of: 1. The distance from todays high to todays low. 2. The distance from yesterdays close to todays high. 3. The distance from yesterdays close to todays low. The main difference between ATR and the plain daily range is that ATR takes into account gaps. What is a divergence A divergence occurs when a momentum indicator or other instrument fails to confirm a move in the price action of the market under observation. For instance, if the SP futures makes a new low in price, but the 310 oscillator fails to make a new momentum low, then the SP is said to be diverging from the oscillator. Likewise, if the SP futures make a new low that is not confirmed by new lows in a related market or index (for example the SP versus the Dow Industrials, or the SP versus the TICK), this is also considered a form of divergence. Divergences are useful in that they warn of a loss of momentum and often precede a reversal in price. What are Keltner Channels Keltner Channels are a form of trading bands plotted directly on top of a price chart, as opposed to beneath the price chart as in the case of an oscillator or volume. The bands are based on an ATR function centered around a moving average. We use a value of 2.5 ATRs added to and subtracted from a 20-period exponential moving average to create our bands. What is the difference between Keltner Channels and Bollinger Bands Bollinger Bands are based on a standard deviation function. Very often, you will see times where the market is moving HIGHER but the lower Bollinger band is declining. This does not happen with Keltner channels. Though both are based on a volatility functions, Keltner Channels will maintain a more constant width than Bollinger Bands and thus we find them more pleasing to our eye. We also have had much better success in using range functions in our quantitative modeling as opposed to standard deviation functions, especially when creating short-term timing systems. Bollinger Band trades we use 2.5 standard deviation bands centered around a 20 period moving average to make trades on the day following a trend day. we do these trades in the morning session only. the concept behind this is that a push to the upper or lower band will setup a countertrend trade. the objective is a push back to the moving average. no stops were used in our testing, we just used an exit of whenever the trade hit the moving average or end of day in the worse possible scenario. A-B-C is a term borrowed from Elliot Wave terminology that denotes a three-wave corrective pattern that is often found in the middle of a trend. Waves A, B and C are often of the same magnitude in both price and time, and the pattern tends to have the appearance of a zigzag. What are the parameters for the 310 oscillator To construct this oscillator, first subtract a 10 period simple moving average from a 3 period simple moving average. We often refer to this as the fast line. Next, create a 16-period simple moving average of the fast line - we refer to this line as the slow line. It is also useful to plot a horizontal line at the zero value. We plot all three lines together on our charts beneath the price. For some indicators, such as the 310 oscillator, we provide subscribers with downloadable TradeStation code files. When we refer to the EMA, we will always be referring to a 20-period exponential moving average. This line can be thought of as a proxy for a regression to the mean in a trending market. It has little value in a trading range market. Unlike a simple moving average, which takes the average price of the last X periods, the EMA method takes a weighted average of the most recent price and the average price from the bar before. What size stops do you use In general, we use an initial stop of 5 points in the SP futures unless specified otherwise. For scalp trades in the SPs, we use a 3-point stop. In the domestic futures markets, we use a fixed 500 stop per contract unless specified otherwise. If there is an unusual expansion in volatility, we will use wider stops and lower our leverage. Stops should be tightened up as a market moves off in your favor. In stocks, we recommend using stops to limit losses to no more than 2 of your working capital. How do you enter positions In determining whether to use market, limit or resting stop orders to pull us into a trade, we assess the liquidity conditions and the type of market environment (i. e. trending, choppy, etc.) Each trader must ultimately find their OWN style that works best for them over time. Do you have resting stop orders in the market The great majority of the time we keep our stop orders resting in the market. The exceptions tend to be when a gap opening is expected, in which case we let the market settle in first, and then place our stops just outside of the early morning range. The other exception is when current liquidity conditions are poor and we have a large position on. This has been the case in certain markets such as coffee, where it is preferable to let the broker work an exit order within a fixed time window. How do you place your orders in the SP futures We call most of orders directly to the futures pit. However, over the past few years we have been using the e-minis with electronic order entry as well, especially as liquidity has been shifting to this market. What do you mean when you refer to premium The fair value premium is the theoretical futures price minus the cash index price. Fair value describes how far the futures contract should be trading above or below the cash index given expected dividend income for the stocks in the index, the number of days to expiration for the futures contract and the short-term interest rate. When the SPs are trading at a premium or a discount, we are referring to a situation where the futures are trading above or below their fair value. What is the historical volatility ratio This is the ratio between two different lengths of historical volatility (for example, the ratio between 25-day and 100-day historical volatility). We use this indicator to alert us to times when short-term volatility has declined below longer-term volatility by a certain percentage threshold. These signals are often precursors to increasing volatility. What is the BOBO - on your trade sheet These are the parameters for a proprietary volatility breakout system that we trade during certain periods. A buy is triggered on a break above the upper number and short is triggered on break below the lower number. What is the Golf System Golf is a proprietary system that enters the SP futures on the CLOSE. LBRGroup published this system in an advisory service between 1993 and 1998. We also traded it on a mechanical basis for our managed futures program. We stopped trading it mechanically when the overnight volatility became too great during the Asian crisis, though we still use it as a timing indicator. It is based in part upon the 2-period ROC and bar chart patterns. What is the afternoon 2-point trade The 2-point play is not a chart pattern. It is something that we started doing real time in October 2004. It is not a mechanical system though either, since there is no fixed stop other then a time stop. The time stop is 24 hours. It is a tendency based on pattern recognition (number of days up or down along and degree of trend). It is something that we started doing for ourselves originally, and other members have started using it as well. Trades are initiated on the reopening of the Emini contact after the market closes (i. e. the beginning of the Globex session). Very often the 2 point objective is hit in the Globex session, which is why we do not work these trades for the room, but just put in what they will be for your own knowledge. There have been times where the 2 point objective is not achieved until the day session the next day. Of course there will be a times where the objective is not achieved at all, also. What is the RAT trade The Rat trade is an afternoon breakout trade we make in the SPs on days where there is heavy institutional activity. It is not based on a specific chart formation, and the parameters and filters for this trade are proprietary. What is the Last Call trade This is a trade made in the last hour of the day in the index futures. It is similar to the Push into the Noon Hour time frame that we make in the morning. (Members can reference this in the Trade Library Setup). The Last Call setup is based on a combination of bar chart pattern recognition and market breadth parameters. What is a Pivot Point This can be a previous swing high or low, or visible chart point such as the high or low of a gap area. Globex highs and lows, along with the previous days high and low are all forms of Pivot Points. We do not use Fibonacci numbers or arbitrary calculations. We are interested in levels that ALL market participants are aware of, as would be the case with a key high or low. What are the Red Green Red patterns on the bar charts that you post This color rule is based off an average true range function added or subtracted from the previous swing high or low. It is a variation of the parabolic stop and reverse formula published by Welles Wilder in his book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. We find that it provides useful pattern recognition in highlighting the short-term swings on a bar chart. General Trading Related Questions Tick Charts vs. Time Interval on most software applications a 1600 tick chart of the sps would be equivalent to a 5 minute chart. and a 3600 tick chart is similiar to a 15 min time frame. we prefer to use these type of tick charts in the early morning session since they adjust the globex trading relative to the activity level. day session only charts on a 5 min interval can be too gappy, while 5 min charts on a 24 hours basis tend to be distorted. What is relative strength and relative weakness that we talk about in the online trading rooms Simply put, a stock or sector that exhibits relative strength is performing better than a related index, such as the SP500 or Nasdaq. Relative weakness would be a sector or stock that is under-performing a benchmark index. With commodities, the relative strength leader is the one that is performing the best on the day. The early morning relative strength leaders usually continue to perform the best throughout the day. What are the SPY amp QQQ The SPY and QQQ are Exchange Traded Funds. They represent a basket of stocks mimicking the composition SampP 500 and Nasdaq100 stock indexes. They trade on an exchange just like individual stocks and can be sold short on a downtick. In essence, they allow you to trade the entire stock index much like the SP or Nasdaq futures. However, unlike futures contracts, the QQQ and SPY do not expire and are not leveraged instruments. How do you watch so many markets The majority of the time, we watch a quote board which gives us last price instead of watching charts on each individual market. This way we can monitor numerous price levels in addition to various market indexes and market internals. If we want to look at the charts on a particular market, we pull up a screen that has the 30, 60 and 120-minute time frames. The SPs and occasionally the bonds are usually the only markets where we will look at charts on a shorter time frame. Positions in most other markets are entered with the intent of carrying a winning position over night. Why do you look at so many stocks Stocks that are market leaders can often turn before the stock index futures do. This is particularly true of the high beta momentum stocks. Monitoring individual sectors and relative strength can add valuable information regarding the overall technical condition of the market. We limit our database to only the top 250 trading stocks. What kind of broker should I use Avoid brokers with browser-based order entry systems. Use a broker that offers a fully integrated trading platform (stand alone software) with point and click order routing and execution. You will have to do your own research in deciding which company to do business with. If you are not happy with your current broker, it is very easy to try another. We maintain accounts at multiple firms and feel that it is important to have multiple relationships in case there is ever a problem with one firm or a geographic disruption in one part of the country. What data feed and software programs do you use Real Time Data feeds: How can I see what happened each day in the online trading rooms For LBR Futures Live and LBR Stock Beat, we post transcripts of each days activity on our website. These transcripts are available in the Members Services section of our website. For LBR Currencies we do not archive transcripts. However our Currencies room will be open 48 hours, giving members the ability to easily reference the previous days information. I want to join your service. What do I have to know about the stock market Though prior knowledge and experience are not strictly required, it is important that you understand that trading involves risk. Our online trading service is educational in nature and will be of best value to you if you can monitor the markets real time. I still have another job. Can I trade part time Yes. You decide on the pace of your learning. You might start out part-time and decide later on whether this could be the start of a new career for you. Remember that the time and energy you put into learning will pay off down the road. However, we have yet to come across a trader able to consistently support themselves by trading part time. Ultimately trading is a full time job, and many people new to the business are often surprised by the long hours professional traders devote to their study of the markets. How many trades do we make each day There is no normal day, and the number of trades varies with the volatility of the stocks and futures contracts that we are trading. However, we find it better to be patient and wait for a few well thought out high probability trade setups, than to settle for marginal trades. We find that when traders start overtrading, they get sloppy and make mistakes. I cant be near a computer all day - do you have any other suggestions for me Our Basic Online membership offers set-ups and trading ideas that can be implemented without the need for watching the screen during the day. These trades include option plays and longer-term stock swing trades. How long does it take to learn to trade successfully In our experience, the average length of time it takes for a person to be able to trade with the consistency and confidence necessary to make a decent living is about three years. Some people are never able to do this, as they are unable to master the mental side of the game. A few people have been able to find their niche quickly and show consistent profitability after just 6 months. This is the exception though. What are the most important things a day trader needs to succeed What methods are available for accessing the chat rooms We offer all members two methods for accessing our live chat: 1. Stand-alone software method 2. Browser based method Both methods offer the same connectivity speed and deliver the same information. We find that most people prefer the stand-alone software method for its features, such as multisingle window viewing modes. After you login (click on Futures Live, Stock Beat or Currencies buttons located in the upper left side of our home page ) you will come to a page with complete information for accessing both methods, including instructions for downloading our stand-alone chat software. Note: our live chat system will not permit running both methods simultaneously. Nor can you run our chat system on two separate computers, simultaneously. What is the video feature all about, and how do I access it Begining in June 2006, we upgraded our stand-alone chat software to include a direct video feed into Lindas computer. All members of Futures Live and Stock Beat will have access to this feature, at no additional cost. This feature enables you to see the actual charts and indicators Linda and her staff uses as they set up trades and make calls in the chat rooms. For mor information about this feature, click here. Do I need the latest version of your chat software to access the video feature Where do I download the latest version of your chat software The latest version is available by clicking on either the Futures Live or Stock Beat buttons located in the upper left side of our home page. After you enter you username and password, you will be given an opportunity to download the program file. Can you show me in more detail how to log on to the Browser Based chat system For full instructions, click here. How do I get web links (aka hyperlinks) to work in the chat window I click on them, but nothing happens. When you place your mouse over a link in the chat rooms, the link will not change its appearance like you would normally see on a standard web page. Do not be alarmed, this is normal. You need to place your mouse directly over the link, and then double click. Your Internet Explorer browser should then open. ALSO -- the link must be all on one line in the chat window. If the link is broken up over two lines, then simply re-size your window to get the link back to one line of text. I cant get the chat software to work. If you are using any kind of pop-up blocker or firewall devices on your computer, this may adversely affect and possibly even prevent the chat software from functioning. Check to make sure you have the latest Java Runtime Environment (JRE) installed. The latest version can be found here . Note our minimum system requirments: - High Speed Internet Connection (DSL or Cable modem) suggested - Win98, NT, 2000, XP - Java-enabled Internet browser (may require Microsoft Java Virtual Machine to be updated or installed or the SUN Java Runtime Environment: java. sungetjava) NOTE to System Administrators: Our live chat applications were designed to use direct Internet connection. If you are using NAT andor a firewall system, it should permit outgoing connection to the port 8523 of our server (lbrgroup). Also port-mapping may be used on your Internet gateway. What are Open Forum rooms used for Open Forum rooms are special rooms just for members to talk amongst themselves. These rooms will have a blank text field beneath the window, where you may input your comments. After typing, to send your comments to the room, simply hit your Return or Enter key on your keyboard. How do I send a private message You may send private messages to other members as well as to the room moderators. Simply place your mouse over the name of the person you wish to send a message to, and right click. Then select Private Session. This will open up a new window for you to send and recieve your private message. After typing your message in the text field located at the bottom of the chat window, hit your keyboards return key to send the message. Note that the list of member names and moderator names will only apear in the Open Forum rooms, on the right hand side. How do I adjust the font size Both the stand alone and the browser based chat methods allow you to adjust your font size. Simply place your mouse over any text area within the transcript window, then right click your mouse. You can then select a custom font size from the list. What other user-controlled adjustments can I make on the stand alone software In the stand alone software, place your mouse over the small blue icon located in the upper left hand corner of the chat window. Next, select any of the following controls: - Multi Window mode . changes from single window mode to multi-window mode. - Always on Top . keeps the software from becoming obscured by other software applications running on your computer. - Play Sounds . turns on and off all room audio sounds. - Play EMA . turns on and off the subtle typing sound when messages are being broadcast into the main rooms. How do I enable the copy, cut and paste functions in the chat applications This requires adjusting the security settings on your web browser (Internet Explorer). Please click here to access a PDF file with detailed instructions for changing these settings. File requires Adobe Acrobat viewer. General Website Questions How can I cancel or change my service In the Member Services area of our web page, you will find links to Modify my Profile . How do I ask questions Sending us an email is the easiest way. Please see the Contact Us area of our web site. How do I print text found on your web site pages To print the class transcripts, guest lectures or other text items (without also printing all the formatted headers and other content on the page) heres what you do: 1. Simply select the text with your mouse (i. e. highlight the area you want to print). 2. Right click your mouse and select copy. 3. Open up Microsoft Notepad (look under Start--gtPrograms--gtAccessories--gtNotepad) and then simply paste in the text (right click mouse and select paste). 4. Voila -- you are ready to print the text (make sure youre printer is turned on) 5. For charts simply place your mouse on top of the chart - then right click - and save as to your hard-drive. Go to the saved file, click on the file to open it, and proceed to print. How do I print Charts 1. Right click your mouse on top of the chart you want to save, and select Save Picture As. 2. Save the chart image file to your harddrive. 3. Open chart image file by double clicking on file, then select Print from the Edit menu of you software. Why do charts print with such a dark background color Virtually all charts on this site are created with Aspen Graphics software. We realize that they do not print well with a dark background. We apologize for the inconvenience. The trade off is that we are able to manipulate the color rules and write our own formulas to show you unique and useful trading patterns. Why does it say no gaps on some of your charts in the Daily Educational Charts These charts are generated by Aspen Graphics. No gaps means that the data is compressed to eliminate holidays where the markets are closed. If this function is not turned on, a gap will appear in the data for the holiday session. ADX . Trend strength oscillator originally developed J. Welles Wilder Jr. that fluctuates between 0 and 100. BEAMER . Nickname for IBM BEAR FLAG . Classic bar chart pattern that occurs in a trending market, a bearish continuation pattern. BEAR TRAP . A bear trap occurs when the market breaks below chart support, bringing traders in on the short side, then quickly reverses, trapping traders with losses. BREADTH . The difference between the number of advancing issues and the number of declining issues on the NYSE. BREAKOUT TRADE . A trade that occurs when the market breaks above or below some pre-define range, usually a nearby support or resistance levels such as the previous days high or low, or the last 60 minutes highlow. Breakouts are often associated with low volatility readings. BULL FLAG . Classic bar chart pattern that occurs in a trending market, a bullish continuation pattern. BULL TRAP . A bull trap occurs when the market breaks above chart resistance, bringing traders in on the long side, then quickly reverses, trapping traders with losses. BURNING DOG . This is the phrase used to describe the tendency for the SPs to retrace back into a gap area by N - amount after a gap of N-amount. Though we make trades off this pattern in the futures room in the morning after a gap on certain days, this phrase describes a tendency only, and is not a mechanical trade setup. COMPRESSION METER . LBRGroups proprietary volatility index used to signal potential for longer term breakouts. COWS . Nickname for the Live Cattle futures CREEPER MARKET . A market that slowly creeps higher without a significant retracement. One of the strongest types of trending action that does not catch peoples attention. DISCOUNT (SPs) . When the price of the future is trading lower than fair Value DIVERGENCE . A divergence is indicated when momentum fails to confirm a new low or new high in the price. Divergences usually show up best with oscillators such as the 310 and 535 MACD. EDGE . Term used to describe when a trader has the advantage or a favorable margin. It is even better when this margin can be quantified statistically. EMA . Exponential Moving Average. We use a 20-period setting EQUILIBRIUM LEVEL . The point at which buyers and sellers are in balance. Coincides with a neutral chart point that is often at the end of a consolidation period. EVENT RISK . The risk that some unexpected event will cause a substantial change in the market value of a security. For example, missed earnings, lawsuits, crop failures, war, etc. FADE . A countertrend trade FAIR VALUE . Fair value reflects the relationship between stock index futures and the indexs current levels. It is a theoretical estimate of where the futures should be trading based on their underlying cash index with short-term interest rates and dividends factored into the calculation. Determining the fair value relationship between the SampP 500 futures contract and the underlying SampP 500 index requires adding the cost of borrowing the money to buy the SampP 500 stocks, while subtracting the gain these stocks pay in dividends. FILL OR KILL . This means do it now if the stock is available in the crowd or from the specialist, otherwise kill the order altogether. GOLF . A mechanical trade that is made in the SP futures that is entered on the close of the day. GRAIL . A trade set-up based on a pullback to the 20 period EMA after the 14 period ADX has risen above 30. Pullback in rallies are bought, and pullbacks in declines are sold short. This pattern was discussed at lenght in Street Smarts. IMPULSE . Increase in the market momentum. Impulse moves tend to happen in the direction of the trend. On a bar chart they have the appearance of a sharp markup or markdown. INSTITUTIONS . Mutual funds, pension funds, banks, and large commercials KELTNER CHANNELS . A trading band indicator that is displayed on top of price charts. Similar to Bollinger Bands but calculated differently, using true-range rather than standard deviation. LAST CALL . Trade that setups up in the last hour of a trend day LOAD THE BOAT . Use full line of leverage MACD . An oscillator based on the difference between two moving averages. We use the difference between a 3 and 10-period simple moving average MARK UP . A Wyckoff term, used to denote the phase of the market where prices rise, from the beginning of a bull market to its top. MARKET LEADERSHIP . Market leadership refers to those sectors and industries that are currently bringing in the best returns. MARKET ORDER . An order to buy or sell a stock immediately at the best available current price. A market order guarantees execution. MIT . Market-if-touched order. An order which becomes a market order if the specified price is reached. MOC . Market-on-close order. A buy or sell order which is to be executed as a market order as close as possible to the end of the day. MOMENTUM . The difference between the last price and the price N-numbers bar. A 2-period Rate of Change (ROC) is the same as a 2-period Momentum. NAZDOG . Nickname for the Nasdaq100 index. NAZDOGGIE . Name of Linda8217s adorable little Pomeranian. See photo gallery . NR7 . The narrowest high-low range of the past seven days. OODA . The OODA Loop, often called Boyd8217s Cycle, is a creation of Col. John Boyd, USAF (Ret.). Col. Boyd was a student of tactical operations and observed a similarity in many battles and campaigns. He noted that in many of the engagements, one side presented the other with a series of unexpected and threatening situations with which they had not been able to keep pace. The slower side was eventually defeated. What Col. Boyd observed was the fact that conflicts are time competitive. According to Boyd8217s theory, conflict can be seen as a series of time-competitive, Observation-Orientation-Decision-Action (OODA) cycles. OOPS TRADE . A term originally coined by Larry Williams which refers to a market that gaps below the previous days low (or above the previous days high) and then quickly reverses its direction. OOZE . Down trending price action that slowly inches down without any upward reactions of any magnitude. One of the strongest forms of trending action. OPENING BULGE . Period after the opening when the public has a tendency to pay too high a price. OPENING PLAY . The markets first tendency of the day OUCH SETUPS . When a market Closes in the upper 75 of its range but then gaps lower the next day around the previous days low (vice versa to the upside). OVERHEAD SUPPLY . Are where the market had found support in the past but the price is currently trading lower. PEA SHOOTER DAY . Our SP brokers affectionate term for when the institutions are absent and the majority of the paper in the SP pit consists of 1s and 2s. PIVOT . A market reference point. Our most frequently used pivots are swing highs and swing lows such as the high and low of a daily bar or the highs and lows of the hourly cycles. POWER BUYSELL . A retracement formation that combines two time frames. For a chart example of this setup, members can reference the trade library setup. PREMIUM (SPs) . When the price of an index future is trading greater than Fair Value. PUSH INTO THE NOON HOUR TIMEFRAME . Trade that setup around 11:00 EST on a trend day RAT TRADE . An afternoon breakout trade that is made in the LBRFutures Room RESISTANCE . Area where Sellers have come in the past. ROBUST . Refers to a method or system that is profitable across a variety of markets, time frames and parameters. It is the opposite curve-fit or optimized. SCALP . A Short-term trade that capitalizes on the markets smaller fluctuations. SHAKEOUT FAKEOUT . A sharp downward move following an area of distribution that quickly reverses itself and comes back up through the distribution area. SHORT SKIRT . The name of a very short term pattern trade taken on a one-minute SampP and Nasdaq futures charts. A form of pullback trade on a very short time frame. SKIDS . Slippage or the difference between the price that a stop order was placed and the actual fill price. SLOP AND CHOP . Action in the market when institutions are absent and liquidity is poor. SMA . Simple Moving Average SPRING . Originally a Wyckoff term, is used to denote an impulsive move often associated with a test of support. See also Upthrust. STOP ORDER . An order that becomes a market order when the price touches that level. SUMTICK . LBRGroups proprietary summation Tick index SUPPORT . Area where buyers have stepped in the past. SWEET STUFF . Nickname for the sugar futures THREE PUSHES . A characteristic pattern that occurs near important turning points. Usually three distinct test of a high or low level, followed by a reversal. 3 OCLOCK JIGGLE . A scalp trade that sets up in the SPs around the time that the bonds close. TICK . Smallest increment that a price can change. 1 tick on an e-mini contract .25 points, which is the equivalent of 12.50. TICKS . The difference between the number of issues on the NYSE that are trading UP from the last trade versus the number of issues that are trading down. TREND DAY . A day where the market opens on one end of its range, closes on the opposite end, shows range expansion and has an increase in volume. TRIGGER . Level at which a trade will be initiated if a market trades to that price. TRIN . The TRIN (also know as the Trading Index and the ARMS Index) was invented by Richard Arms in the 1970s. It is calculated as follows: (Advancing issues Declining issues) divided by (Advancing volume Declining volume). If the index is above one, the average volume of stocks that fell on the NYSE was greater than the average volume of stocks that rose. If the index is below one, then the converse is true. UPTHRUST . Originally a Wyckoff term, is used to denote an impulsive move often associated with a test of resistance. See also Spring. VIX . VIX is a weighted measure of the implied volatility for 8 OEX put and call options. VIX represents the implied volatility for this hypothetical at-the-money OEX option. VOLATILITY . The range of the price action over N - Number of bars. WEDGE . A low volatility point in which a triangle type formation can be drawn on the bar charts. The market can break out in EITHER direction from this formation. WHIPSAW . Is when the market rapidly reverses its direction several times in succession. WIRE . Nickname for the Copper Market Z DAY . A consolidation day that typically follows a trend day.

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